Benfica vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
SCP
3 - 0
SLB
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
POR
2 - 2
BEL
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BOA
2 - 0
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |