Benfica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
UNM
0 - 1
SLB
16%
22%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
56%
25%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1991 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCB
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
SLB
3 - 0
BMA
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
FAR
2 - 2
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
PEN
2 - 1
SPB
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
16%
29%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
CHA
1 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
PEN
0 - 0
PAÇ
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |