Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Benfica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 0
SLB
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 2
SCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 0
PEN
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACA
40%
32%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHA
37%
31%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |