Benfica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.1%
2.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 4
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
FAR
2 - 7
SLB
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 0
SLB
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPB
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
RDA
1 - 0
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 3
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
0 - 0
VST
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |