Benfica vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 2
ARO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 3
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
AND
2 - 3
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PSG
5 - 0
SOC
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 0
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PSG
4 - 0
LYO
60%
22%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 1
OLP
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
REI
0 - 3
PSG
14%
22%
65%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |