Europa League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-2
Benfica vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
STU
0 - 2
SLB
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
46%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 0
PSG
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 0
LMU
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
BAT
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
28%
28%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |