Benfica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
REA
0 - 3
SLB
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FEI
2 - 0
PAÇ
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 0
PAÇ
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
BOA
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
PAÇ
27%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |