Benfica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 1
GFC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SLB
0 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FCP
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ZEN
4 - 2
PAÇ
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OLH
1 - 0
PAÇ
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
PAÇ
1 - 4
ZEN
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SPB
29%
26%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |