Benfica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
BOA
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 1
MUD
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 0
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 2
PAÇ
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
NAV
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |