Benfica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
SPB
3 - 1
SLB
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SLB
0 - 0
BOA
58%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
SLB
3 - 2
UDL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
BOA
25%
28%
48%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
EST
1 - 1
PAÇ
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
UDL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
BMA
1 - 0
PAÇ
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |