Benfica vs Os Unidos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
APO
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
14%
16%
70%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
BEL
3 - 2
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Os Unidos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 3
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
LEC
4 - 1
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCP
14%
16%
70%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
UNI
88%
8%
5%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 4
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |