Benfica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
4.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
3 - 5
SLB
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
BMA
1 - 1
SLB
17%
25%
59%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
SLB
5 - 1
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ORI
2 - 3
BEL
29%
31%
39%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 3
ORI
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ORI
3 - 1
BOA
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
VST
4 - 0
ORI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |