Benfica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 0
OLP
92%
5%
2%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BOA
2 - 0
SLB
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
SLB
6 - 0
CDM
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 0
VIT
29%
31%
40%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
ORI
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 1
CDM
26%
25%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1965 |
SCP
4 - 0
ORI
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
ORI
1 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |