Benfica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 1
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
VST
1 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
SLB
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
SLB
1 - 0
ASS
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 0
VST
47%
23%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
SAL
4 - 1
ORI
64%
18%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 0
ORI
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 3
FCP
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SPC
1 - 1
ORI
65%
18%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |