Benfica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 5
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 4
SLB
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SLB
6 - 0
FAB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TOR
4 - 1
ORI
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
VST
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LGC
0 - 2
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |