Champions League 1/16
Global 2-0
Benfica vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
4.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.6%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.2%
2.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BOA
2 - 0
SLB
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
SLB
6 - 0
CDM
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 0
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
OLP
1 - 0
TOT
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
TOT
4 - 0
OLP
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
CAG
0 - 1
OLP
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
OLP
2 - 1
CAG
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1971 |
DIN
1 - 2
OLP
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |