Benfica vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 0
OLH
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
19%
18%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 2
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1948 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
31%
19%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 4
SCP
56%
18%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
OEL
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
OEL
12 - 1
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 2
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
OEL
2 - 1
BEL
20%
20%
59%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
SPB
4 - 1
OEL
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |