Europa League 1/32
Global 2-0
Benfica vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
0 - 2
SLB
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
21%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1978 |
GIR
1 - 1
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
0 - 2
SLB
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
2 - 0
PFC
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAN
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |