Europa League 1/32
Global 6-1
Benfica vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
21%
29%
50%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACV
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
POR
0 - 1
SLB
20%
29%
51%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
MPL
0 - 3
SLB
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
MPL
4 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
AUX
1 - 0
MPL
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
MPL
0 - 0
PSG
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 1
MPL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
MPL
0 - 3
SLB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |