Benfica vs Montijo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 2
SLB
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
LEX
0 - 1
SLB
17%
27%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
CDM
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
BMA
3 - 1
CDM
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
CDM
0 - 0
FAB
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
FAR
3 - 2
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |