Benfica vs Montijo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.5%
3.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 0
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
SLB
8 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 5
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 1
UFT
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 1
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 1
CDM
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
CDM
3 - 2
UFT
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 1
CDM
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 3
VST
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |