Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 5
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 3
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARO
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |