Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 2
SLB
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 1
GFC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 0
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SLB
4 - 1
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BMA
1 - 2
MAR
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
OLH
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |