Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
UDL
0 - 2
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 1
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CAM
0 - 0
SLB
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
SLB
2 - 0
UDL
72%
18%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CAM
3 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |