Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
4 - 1
UNM
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
EST
1 - 4
SLB
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
UNM
1 - 1
MAR
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
BEL
1 - 2
MAR
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOA
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |