Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
POR
0 - 2
SLB
11%
19%
71%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
ESP
0 - 3
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SLB
1 - 2
BOA
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
SLB
19%
27%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPB
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |