Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAN
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
0 - 2
SLB
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 1
MAR
94%
5%
2%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACV
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAM
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |