Benfica vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
FEI
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 5
MUD
10%
19%
72%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
8 - 2
ARS
64%
20%
17%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 0
TOT
72%
17%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
WBA
1 - 2
MUD
12%
19%
70%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 3
MUD
18%
21%
62%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |