Champions League 1/16
Global 4-2
Benfica vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
SLB
9 - 0
BMA
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BOA
1 - 3
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
MFF
1 - 0
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
SLB
6 - 0
LEX
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
MFF
0 - 0
ORE
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
MFF
1 - 0
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
OIF
5 - 0
MFF
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
ATV
4 - 1
MFF
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
MFF
1 - 1
AIK
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |