Benfica vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
4.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.5%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.4%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.3%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
2.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.2%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
4%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.9%
1.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 5
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 1
OEL
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 4
SLB
18%
18%
65%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 2
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
5 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
6 - 1
LUS
82%
10%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
0 - 1
SPB
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 0
SCP
6%
11%
82%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
76%
14%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |