Benfica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.6%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.3%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.2%
2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
MUD
3 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
77%
13%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
LGC
0 - 2
LEX
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 2
LGC
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 1
BMA
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SCP
5 - 0
LGC
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
43%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |