Benfica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 2
SLB
22%
21%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
FCB
3 - 0
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
LGC
2 - 1
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
VIT
1 - 0
LGC
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 0
LGC
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
LGC
2 - 0
VST
49%
21%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 2
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |