Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Benfica vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
SAL
0 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1996 |
SLB
3 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1996 |
RCH
0 - 0
SLB
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
UDL
0 - 2
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 5
FCP
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LOK
3 - 1
CHE
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOK
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
LOK
0 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1996 |
NKV
2 - 1
LOK
39%
29%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
ZHE
1 - 3
LOK
20%
27%
53%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |