Champions League Last 16
Global 3-0
Benfica vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAC
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
UDL
3 - 1
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 0
MUD
29%
28%
43%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
29%
28%
43%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
WIG
0 - 1
LIV
23%
27%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
LIV
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
63%
22%
16%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |