Champions League 1/16
Global 8-3
Benfica vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
LIS
3 - 3
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
0 - 2
SCP
65%
17%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
5 - 0
MAR
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 3
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
LIS
3 - 3
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |