Champions League 1/16
Global 6-2
Benfica vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
EST
1 - 4
SLB
14%
26%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 0
RIO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
LIN
2 - 1
TIR
41%
23%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
TIR
1 - 0
LIN
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1981 |
LIN
0 - 5
KSK
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
KSK
3 - 0
LIN
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
NAN
2 - 0
LIN
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |