Benfica vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 2
GFC
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
24%
25%
52%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 2
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MET
0 - 2
LIL
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SOC
0 - 0
LIL
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 2
TRO
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 3
LIL
31%
30%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |