Benfica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
POR
1 - 2
SLB
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 0
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 3
SLB
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 1
BOA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
LEX
0 - 0
BEL
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
BOA
1 - 1
LEX
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
LEX
1 - 1
VST
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
LEX
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |