Benfica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
9.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SLB
3 - 3
SCP
56%
20%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
BMA
2 - 3
SLB
17%
19%
64%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
SLB
2 - 1
ATL
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ACA
5 - 2
LEX
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
OLH
0 - 0
LEX
55%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
LEX
5 - 0
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
BEL
6 - 3
LEX
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |