Benfica vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
4.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.3%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.8%
2.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
17%
71%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 2
VIT
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FCP
4 - 1
SLB
66%
17%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
LEC
0 - 3
CAR
60%
19%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
APO
4 - 0
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
FCB
2 - 0
LEC
67%
18%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LEC
3 - 1
VIT
28%
22%
50%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
SCP
14 - 0
LEC
97%
2%
1%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |