Champions League 1/16
Global 1-1
Benfica vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
VST
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
FCB
0 - 3
SLB
12%
19%
70%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
GLE
1 - 1
SLB
23%
21%
56%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
GLE
1 - 1
SLB
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
GLA
4 - 0
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1966 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLA
32%
22%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
GLE
3 - 3
ANT
42%
21%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
ANT
1 - 0
GLE
57%
20%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |