Benfica vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
12%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1983 |
SLB
2 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
AND
1 - 0
SLB
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 1
SLB
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
AMO
1 - 3
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
0 - 0
RIO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
GDA
3 - 1
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
SAL
2 - 0
GDA
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
GDA
1 - 0
VST
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
BOA
1 - 0
GDA
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
GDA
3 - 0
ESP
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |