Benfica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SLB
0 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 1
LEV
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 0
ACA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
GFC
1 - 3
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
GFC
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 0
OLH
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |