Benfica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
LEX
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
5 - 0
GFC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 0
GFC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
GFC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 0
LEX
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
5 - 0
GFC
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |