Benfica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 2
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
43%
25%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 3
GFC
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
GFC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 1
UDL
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |