Benfica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 0
SLB
48%
27%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 1
UDL
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 1
FAM
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
GFC
1 - 1
UDL
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
VST
0 - 1
GFC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
GFC
0 - 0
UNM
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
BMA
0 - 0
GFC
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
GFC
3 - 2
SPB
49%
29%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |