Benfica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1990 |
ACM
1 - 0
SLB
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
SLB
4 - 2
UNM
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
BOA
1 - 0
SLB
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1988 |
GFC
0 - 2
VIT
37%
24%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 1
GFC
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
GFC
2 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
GFC
0 - 1
SPC
56%
21%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
GFC
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |