Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Benfica vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
UFT
0 - 1
SLB
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 0
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
16%
26%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
SLB
7 - 0
TIR
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1972 |
FEY
0 - 0
UTR
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 2
FEY
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 0
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 0
GAE
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
DWS
0 - 2
FEY
13%
25%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |