Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Benfica vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 3
LYO
50%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
JUV
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BVB
2 - 2
SLB
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 1
SLB
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
FEN
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FEN
3 - 3
FEY
58%
21%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
FEN
3 - 0
FUL
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 1
FEN
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |