Champions League 1/16
Global 7-1
Benfica vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
0 - 2
SLB
14%
24%
62%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
SLB
0 - 0
BOA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1975 |
BOA
2 - 1
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 1
FEN
34%
31%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
FEN
2 - 2
ZON
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1975 |
FEN
2 - 0
BJK
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
ESK
0 - 0
FEN
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
FEN
1 - 0
GIR
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |